Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 518.021733 550.748498 584.746208 622.760271 664.150199 707.928275 757.835599
2026-01-25 476.763228 522.001238 570.885831 627.848996 692.669500 764.449614 850.383064
2026-02-01 450.631757 503.664502 562.592870 633.331709 716.476947 811.764716 930.188581
2026-02-08 431.383246 490.325388 557.337315 639.795576 739.402054 856.965343 1007.920748
2026-02-15 412.699503 475.733295 548.791136 640.602291 754.149412 891.654369 1073.397004
2026-02-22 396.666731 462.933542 541.055201 641.089751 767.458811 924.115820 1136.778709
2026-03-01 383.991380 453.223396 536.123198 644.135908 783.314526 959.709469 1205.367509
2026-03-08 370.750684 441.982731 528.466626 642.915077 793.050235 987.210092 1264.068204
2026-03-15 359.773676 432.918289 522.886358 643.709928 804.937660 1017.533087 1327.728545
2026-03-22 349.394530 424.057538 517.003031 643.545312 815.129415 1045.577555 1389.296446
2026-03-29 340.104347 416.128966 511.847295 643.868230 825.641813 1074.139197 1452.803488
2026-04-05 332.889352 410.527895 509.369290 647.455498 840.492876 1109.114464 1527.416046
2026-04-12 324.768430 403.451472 504.661071 647.759245 850.686491 1137.866610 1594.459896
2026-04-19 319.125660 399.394328 503.733302 653.076413 868.007652 1177.546973 1680.548174
2026-04-26 314.036126 395.842196 503.263000 658.859410 886.044280 1218.925456 1771.744302
2026-05-03 309.639938 393.025655 503.610158 665.674131 905.702212 1263.503282 1870.860526
2026-05-10 303.423725 387.497987 499.972801 666.524772 916.357758 1294.574240 1949.469243
2026-05-17 297.444546 382.085106 496.266504 667.038771 926.371982 1324.921999 2028.632641
2026-05-24 292.680064 378.183581 494.506301 670.250937 940.509136 1362.327875 2122.381779
2026-05-31 286.712019 372.411237 489.878152 668.963541 947.484809 1388.329499 2197.506976
2026-06-07 281.707334 367.835929 486.786950 669.801726 957.720298 1420.018123 2284.955294
2026-06-14 276.630194 363.004654 483.153183 669.628134 966.231746 1449.097559 2369.467440
2026-06-21 271.939779 358.586972 479.964319 669.968660 975.488623 1479.754429 2459.023436